According to fresh data released this week, Manchester City are most likely to face Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League last-16 in the coming year.

Despite a frequently rotated lineup, the current holders of Europe’s most prestigious club league won their sixth group stage game on Wednesday night, defeating Serbian side Crvena zvezda in Belgrade by a score of 2-3.

Micah Hamilton and Oscar Bobb, both highly-rated graduates of Manchester City’s development program, scored, while Kalvin Phillips converted a late penalty to seal the game despite late pressure from the hosts.

That result merely solidified Manchester City’s position as group champions, having guaranteed top spot on matchday five against RB Leipzig, with the knockout stages draw scheduled for early next week.

Statistics surrounding the system have shown the probability for each team and their most likely opponents ahead of the 2023/24 edition of the UEFA Champions League finding out their fate for the following round of competition.

According to data given by Reddit user emi_nga, Manchester City have a 14.75% chance of facing either FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain in the Round of 16 following Monday’s knockout round draw.

PSV Eindhoven, Napoli, Inter, Lazio, and FC Porto are the other probable opponents for Pep Guardiola’s side in the next round, with a 14.10% chance of facing Manchester City over two legs.

Ahead of Monday’s UEFA Champions League last-16 draw, here is a detailed list of the most likely opponents for each club still in the competition, based on data.

FC Bayern: Paris Saint-Germain, 17.3% chance

Arsenal: FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain, 13.59% chance

Real Madrid: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Real Sociedad: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Atletico Madrid: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Borussia Dortmund: FC Copenhagen, 17.3% chance

Manchester City: FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain, 14.75% chance

FC Barcelona: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

FC Copenhagen: Borussia Dortmund, 17.3% chance

PSV Eindhoven: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Napoli: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Inter: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Lazio: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Paris Saint-Germain: FC Bayern, 17.3% chance

RB Leipzig: Arsenal, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad, Atletico, or FC Barcelona, 20% chance

FC Porto: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance